Newsletter subscribe

Politics

Public Notice Weekly Polling Analysis

Posted: January 5, 2013 at 4:00 pm   /   by

POLLING ANALYSIS
December 22, 2012-January 4, 2013

MUST READ:
According to Rasmussen, 46% of likely voters approve of the deal, while 46% also disapprove.

President Obama: Average approval from early December to early January was 53.4% according to RealClearPolitics. Average disapproval was 42.1%. (The average two weeks ago, which covered early to late December, was 53.7%. Average disapproval was 41.8%)

Here are the polls released this week on Presidential job approval:

  • ARG: 50% of adults approve and 44% of adults disapprove. One year ago, in December 2011, 46% approve and 51% disapproved.

Gallup tracks President Obama’s job approval on a weekly basis. The average one wee ago (Dec. 10-16, 2012) showed 52% approved and 40% disapproved. The latest weekly numbers available (Dec. 17-23, 2012) showed 57% approve and 37% disapprove. Last year at this time (Dec. 19-25, 2011), 45% approved and 47% disapproved.

Rasmussen conducts a daily tracking poll. Two weeks ago (Dec. 21), 56% approved and 47% disapproved. On Jan. 4, approval was 57%; disapproval was 41%. Last year at this time, the President’s approval was 47% and his disapproval 53%.

Congress: Average approval for late November to mid-December was 18% according to the RealClearPolitics average. Average disapproval was 75.4%. (The average two weeks ago, which covered late November to mid-December was 18%. Average disapproval was 75.4%)

Here are the polls released this week on Congressional job approval:

  • No polls of note.

Right Track/Wrong Track: According to the RealClearPolitics average, which covered late November to late December, 38.1% think the country is headed in the right direction while 54.9% think it is headed in the wrong direction. (Two weeks ago, the right track average, which covered late November to early December, was 38.6%. The wrong track average was 54.4%.)

Here are the polls released this week on the direction of the country:

  • Rasmussen: 33% of likely voters think the country is headed in the right direction and 59% think it is headed in the wrong direction.

ISSUE SPECIFIC

American Dream:
According to Gallup, 47% of adults (43% of Independents) think America’s best days are ahead of it. 50% (55% of Independents) think the country’s best days are behind it.

Budget Deficit & Spending:
According to Gallup, 13% of adults think 2013 will be a year where the federal budget is generally balanced. 85% think it will be a year of budget deficits.

According to Rasmussen, only 39% of likely voters think it is even somewhat likely that government spending will be significantly reduced over the next few years. 57% see significant spending cuts as unlikely. 62% of likely voters want the federal government to make across-the-board spending cuts.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • No polls of note.

Economy & Jobs:
According to ARG, 36% of adults think the economy is in a recession, 33% think it is not, and 31% are not sure.

According to ARG, 12% of adults think the economy is in excellent shape; 9% think it is in very good shape; 24% think it is in good shape; 25% think it is in bad shape; 14% think it is in very bad shape; and 14% think it is in terrible shape.

According to Gallup, 33% of adults think 2013 will be a year of prosperity. 65% think it will be a year of economic difficulty.

According to Gallup, 53% of adults think 2013 will be a where unemployment decreases. 42% think it will be a year where unemployment increases.

According to Gallup, 57% of adults think 2013 will be a year where prices rise at a reasonable rate. 42% think it will be a year where prices rise at a high rate.

According to ARG, 35% of adults think the economy is getting better, 19% think it is stuck in neutral, and 44% think it is getting worse.

According to ARG, 40% of adults think the economy will be better one year from now, 13% think it will be the same, and 43% think it will be worse.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • ARG: 43% of adults approve and 51% of adults disapprove. One year ago, in December 2011, 42% approve and 54% disapproved.

Entitlements:
According to Rasmussen, 67% of likely voters view Medicare favorably while only 24% regard the program unfavorably. Only 25% think Medicare’s costs can be reduced by changing Medicare alone.

Taxes:
According to Gallup, 13% of adults think 2013 will be a year where taxes rise. 82% think it will be a year where taxes decline.

According to Rasmussen, 44% of likely voters believe tax deductions help upper-income Americans the most. 39% think those deductions are more beneficial to middle-class taxpayers while 16% are not sure.

Public Notice is an independent non-profit dedicated to providing facts and insight on the economy and how government policy affects Americans’ financial well-being.

 

 

Leave a comment

Public Notice Weekly Polling Analysis